10/26/2004
More polls: ties and confusion
In my earlier polling roundup I missed the Strategic Vision Florida poll. That gives a slight edge to Bush-- 49-47-1, MoE: 3. What's amazing is how little the numbers have budged since mid-July when Bush was ahead 47-45-1.
The SV folks put the Senate race at Martinez 48, Castor 45.
Strange, though, Gallup gives Bush a big lead in Florida -- 51-42-1. This is quite different from every other Florida poll in past couple weeks, and it has some folks scratching their heads. (Thanks to back-in-business Florida Politics.) The Left Coaster has long been complaining at the way Gallup oversamples Republican registered voters.
Meanwhile, Survey USA says Bush is ahead two points: 50-48. (Nader lumped with the 2 percent "others/undecided." ) MoE: 3.7. It also says Castor is ahead 50-47.
The SV folks put the Senate race at Martinez 48, Castor 45.
Strange, though, Gallup gives Bush a big lead in Florida -- 51-42-1. This is quite different from every other Florida poll in past couple weeks, and it has some folks scratching their heads. (Thanks to back-in-business Florida Politics.) The Left Coaster has long been complaining at the way Gallup oversamples Republican registered voters.
Meanwhile, Survey USA says Bush is ahead two points: 50-48. (Nader lumped with the 2 percent "others/undecided." ) MoE: 3.7. It also says Castor is ahead 50-47.
