10/29/2004

 

New numbers

Strategic Vision's new Florida poll (which should be posted here soon) sees a one-point gain for Bush and puts him ahead 50-46-1. Margin o' error: 3 percent.

Martinez leads Castor 49/46, with 5 percent undecided.

This virtual tie in the presidential race seems more likely and more consistent with other polls than the 8-point Bush lead picked up by the recent LA Times poll.

A New York Times Regional Newspapers poll sees Kerry ahead 48.3-46.7-1.5. Margin o' error 3. Likely voters. It says Kerry is ahead in the I-4 corridor, the swing region in this swing state. (Thanks to Interstate4jamming.)

Meanwhile: the Sentinel/WESH poll reports Martinez/Castor are in a dead heat -- Martinez: 46.7; Castor: 46.4. Margin o' error: 4 percent.

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